Many assumptions lurk behind climate risk assessments. Small errors in the average can mean large errors in the tail risk.
Model meritocracy is a good idea, but the devil is in the details
Irreducible uncertainties associated with internal variability and human actions limit our ability to predict long-term climate change. Higher model…
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
Climate target numbers are approximate. Their roundness reflects that.
Theranos, WeWork ... Carbonos? With startups selling products that affect the planet’s health, physical checks are more important than fancy crypto. The…
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
Nonlinearity generates tipping points, but it also make them hard to predict