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Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
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R. Saravanan
What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Irreducible uncertainties associated with internal variability and human actions limit our ability to predict long-term climate change. Higher model…
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R. Saravanan
Climate Startups, Carbon Offsets, and Crypto
Theranos, WeWork ... Carbonos? With startups selling products that affect the planet’s health, physical checks are more important than fancy crypto. The…
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R. Saravanan
The perils of predicting perils: (mis)calculating wet-bulb temperature
Many assumptions lurk behind climate risk assessments. Small errors in the average can mean large errors in the tail risk.
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R. Saravanan
Can we predict global warming using only statistics?
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
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R. Saravanan
Why are the (climate) numbers so round?
Climate target numbers are approximate. Their roundness reflects that.
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R. Saravanan
How to judge a model beauty contest?
Model meritocracy is a good idea, but the devil is in the details
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R. Saravanan
The Metamodel Blog
The Metamodel Blog
On the language, science, and philosophy of climate & other models

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