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On the language, science, and philosophy of climate & other models
By R. Saravanan · Launched 5 months ago
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What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Irreducible uncertainties associated with internal variability and human actions limit our ability to predict long-term climate change. Higher model resolution can help, but it is not a silver bullet.
Jul 13
Climate Startups, Carbon Offsets, and Crypto
Theranos, WeWork ... Carbonos? With startups selling products that affect the planet’s health, physical checks are more important than fancy crypto. The wild west of carbon offsets needs a sheriff.
Jun 28
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
Aug 2
The perils of predicting perils: (mis)calculating wet-bulb temperature
Many assumptions lurk behind climate risk assessments. Small errors in the average can mean large errors in the tail risk.
Jun 22
Most popular
The perils of predicting perils: (mis)calculating wet-bulb temperature
How to judge a model beauty contest?
What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
Why are the (climate) numbers so round?
Climate Startups, Carbon Offsets, and Crypto
See all popular
New
Can we predict global warming using only statistics?
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
Jun 7
Why are the (climate) numbers so round?
Climate target numbers are approximate. Their roundness reflects that.
May 24
How to judge a model beauty contest?
Model meritocracy is a good idea, but the devil is in the details
May 10
Can we predict global climate tipping points?
Nonlinearity generates tipping points, but it also make them hard to predict
May 3
Most popular
The perils of predicting perils: (mis)calculating wet-bulb temperature
How to judge a model beauty contest?
What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
Why are the (climate) numbers so round?
Climate Startups, Carbon Offsets, and Crypto
See all popular
The Metamodel Blog
On the language, science, and philosophy of climate & other models
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